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2024-12-13 04:47:09

South Korea's Ministry of Finance said in a joint statement that South Korea will actively respond and reverse market sentiment.Japan's Minister of Economic Regeneration Ryosuka Akazawa: Steady progress is being made in overcoming deflation.Macquarie: Raise the forecast of USD/JPY to 140 JPY by the end of 2025 from 125 JPY.


China Seismological Network officially determined that a magnitude 5.7 earthquake occurred in Nevada, USA (39.05 degrees north latitude and 118.85 degrees west longitude) at 07: 08 on December 10th with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds continued to decline, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp and hit the 1.90% mark, hitting a record low.Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.


Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.Everbright Securities: Support the innovative development of new business entities in the power sector. Everbright Securities Research Report stated that the National Energy Administration issued the Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovative Development of New Business Entities in the Power Sector to guide the innovative development of new technologies, new models and new formats in the power sector: encourage virtual power plants to aggregate distributed photovoltaic, decentralized wind power, new energy storage, adjustable load and other resources to provide flexible adjustment capabilities for the power system; Support qualified industrial enterprises and industrial parks to carry out smart microgrid construction; Support to participate in the electricity market, in order to release more accurate node price signals; In principle, new business entities can be exempted from applying for power business licenses.Galaxy Securities: Domestic policies may continue to increase, and metal prices are expected to go up. china galaxy Securities said that on the demand side, the domestic package of economic incremental policies played a significant role. In November, China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.30%, which was in the expansion range for two consecutive months, and the expansion pace was slightly accelerated. The domestic central economic work conference is just around the corner, and it is expected to put forward more positive incremental policy instructions for the economy next year, continue to raise the expectation of macro-recovery, and benefit the rise of copper prices. In addition, the new non-agricultural data in November in the United States reflected that the negative impact of hurricanes and strikes dissipated, but the number of new jobs in the first two months was revised up and the unemployment rate rose, which made the market worry about weak employment. After the data was released, traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December. It is expected that the possibility of the Fed's interest rate cut in December will rise from 67% before the report was released to 85%, and now it has risen to 86%. However, China's central bank once again increased its holdings of gold by nearly 5 tons after half a year in November, indicating that the logic and willingness of global central banks to increase their holdings of gold are still there in the current geopolitical turmoil. The expected warming of interest rate cuts, the central bank's continued increase in gold holdings, and the recent short-term martial law in South Korea and the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine are expected to jointly support the price of gold.

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